Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 74.02
Price - 52 Week High: 85.26
Price - 52 Week Low: 61.53
Price Date (Latest): 11/13/18
Median Price Target: 73.93
Diff from Prev Close: -0.09
% Difference: -0.12

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.6

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.60
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 3.04
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 3.20
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 15.45
Yield (%): 4.10

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.41 4.45 4.35 4.41 10 1 2 -0.46
Annual 12/1/19 4.22 4.31 4.16 4.21 12 3 4 -0.89
Annual 12/1/18 4.08 4.14 4.05 4.08 12 -- 8 -1.06
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.94 0.99 0.90 0.95 9 1 7 -6.98
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.06 1.13 0.97 1.07 5 1 2 -3.90
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.84 1.09 0.62 0.85 5 2 1 3.27
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.12 1.22 1.02 1.14 5 -- 2 -2.72
Long Term Growth 6.35 7.57 4.10 7.37 3 -- -- -3.15

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.60 3.58 0.46
Annual 12/1/16 3.80 3.81 -0.17
Annual 12/1/15 3.44 3.64 -5.62
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.15 1.13 1.76
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.86 0.79 9.14
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.14 1.04 9.10
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.91 0.89 1.89

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 26.58
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 34.47 35.41 33.17 34.66 4 -- 3 -1.08
Annual 12/1/19 33.75 35.11 32.51 33.70 4 2 1 0.05
Annual 12/1/18 32.12 33.58 29.69 32.60 4 2 1 0.13
Quarterly 12/1/18 32.60 32.69 32.51 32.60 2 -- 1 -0.19
Quarterly 3/1/19 32.07 32.07 32.07 32.07 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 32.36 32.36 32.36 32.36 1 -- 1 0.02
Quarterly 9/1/19 33.06 33.06 33.06 33.06 1 -- 1 0.02

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 26.58 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 23.26 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 21.28 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 28.20 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 27.62 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 27.09 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 26.58 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 8.16 8.74 7.55 8.27 5 2 1 0.05
Annual 12/1/19 7.83 8.48 7.22 7.87 6 1 3 -1.00
Annual 12/1/18 7.54 8.07 7.15 7.60 6 1 3 -1.68
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.92 2.25 1.73 1.79 3 -- 2 -2.53
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.25 1.92 -- 1.83 3 -- 1 0.08
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.07 1.77 -- 1.43 3 -- 1 0.03
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.34 2.30 -- 1.73 3 -- 1 --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 7.15 7.46 -4.11
Annual 12/1/16 6.69 6.98 -4.12
Annual 12/1/15 7.54 6.15 22.53
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.96 2.00 -2.10
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.83 1.67 9.86
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.89 1.89 0.19
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.37 1.75 -21.68

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.06
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.90 3.97 3.73 3.90 9 -- 1 -0.20
Annual 12/1/19 3.63 3.68 3.44 3.67 11 -- 1 -0.51
Annual 12/1/18 3.34 3.34 3.32 3.34 11 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.84 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.91 0.92 0.88 0.92 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.91 0.92 0.88 0.92 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.91 0.92 0.88 0.92 3 -- 1 --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.06 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.59 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.84 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.84 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.84 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.77 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 4,360.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5,392.25 5,992.91 5,065.07 5,305.31 7 -- 5 -0.92
Annual 12/1/19 5,114.57 5,402.92 4,880.61 5,100.80 8 1 5 -0.94
Annual 12/1/18 4,747.25 4,984.32 4,602.65 4,719.80 6 2 3 -0.11
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,213.67 1,630.52 1,007.65 1,148.35 6 1 4 -4.24
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,288.25 1,376.99 1,222.34 1,265.43 3 -- 2 -1.64
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,091.66 1,222.34 953.33 1,099.31 3 -- 2 -1.79
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,363.58 1,554.35 1,222.34 1,314.06 3 -- 1 -0.55

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,360.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3,986.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 3,807.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,155.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 923.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,180.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,195.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 6,265.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 7,749.40 8,258.27 7,503.46 7,647.10 6 -- 4 -0.65
Annual 12/1/19 7,245.55 7,751.73 6,815.77 7,238.00 8 1 5 -0.98
Annual 12/1/18 6,765.11 7,172.63 6,500.35 6,710.82 6 2 3 -0.17
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,745.58 2,226.67 1,581.18 1,650.70 5 -- 4 -4.17
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,824.57 1,917.15 1,703.94 1,852.63 3 -- 2 -1.04
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,635.49 1,703.94 1,516.03 1,686.51 3 -- 2 -1.06
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,883.22 2,141.55 1,703.94 1,804.18 3 -- 1 -0.39

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 6,265.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 5,545.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 5,196.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,681.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,386.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,778.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,679.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.93
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.40 4.45 4.35 4.39 3 -- 1 -0.86
Annual 12/1/19 4.24 4.31 4.16 4.21 5 3 1 0.38
Annual 12/1/18 3.89 4.05 3.72 3.89 2 1 1 0.90
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.04 1.35 0.90 0.95 4 -- 4 -12.29
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1 -- -- -0.92
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1 -- -- -0.92
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3.44 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 3.20 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.30 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.69 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.77 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.25 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 37,204.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 38,222.24 40,305.26 36,126.00 38,280.73 6 -- 4 -0.89
Annual 12/1/19 36,323.39 37,859.00 34,341.00 36,585.76 6 -- 4 -2.51
Annual 12/1/18 35,992.90 37,563.70 34,210.00 35,797.44 6 -- 4 -3.76
Quarterly 12/1/18 35,889.22 37,398.00 34,210.00 36,059.65 3 -- 1 -3.91
Quarterly 3/1/19 32,679.88 32,679.88 32,679.88 32,679.88 1 -- 1 -0.01
Quarterly 6/1/19 33,435.49 33,435.49 33,435.49 33,435.49 1 -- 1 -0.01
Quarterly 9/1/19 33,538.83 33,538.83 33,538.83 33,538.83 1 -- 1 -0.02

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 37,204.00 36,034.45 3.25
Annual 12/1/16 25,367.00 31,114.68 -18.47
Annual 12/1/15 18,986.00 26,335.82 -27.91
Quarterly 9/1/18 37,914.00 33,944.33 11.69
Quarterly 6/1/18 29,234.00 34,067.53 -14.19
Quarterly 3/1/18 37,247.00 32,560.33 14.39
Quarterly 12/1/17 37,204.00 34,376.06 8.23

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 2,289.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3,088.49 3,180.71 2,978.03 3,095.01 6 -- 4 -0.59
Annual 12/1/19 2,921.44 2,993.00 2,836.56 2,934.95 8 3 3 -0.03
Annual 12/1/18 2,688.31 2,712.00 2,657.10 2,692.00 7 -- 6 -1.55
Quarterly 12/1/18 636.15 663.26 619.35 633.00 5 -- 4 -5.42
Quarterly 3/1/19 710.49 745.56 644.97 740.95 3 1 1 -0.79
Quarterly 6/1/19 564.53 740.95 438.47 514.18 3 1 1 -0.78
Quarterly 9/1/19 779.76 872.43 725.90 740.95 3 -- 1 -0.39

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2,289.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2,347.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2,040.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 758.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 560.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 741.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 585.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2,916.00 2,916.00 2,916.00 2,916.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2,736.00 2,736.00 2,736.00 2,736.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 517.90 517.90 517.90 517.90 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 14.42
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 13.13 13.60 12.70 13.00 5 2 1 0.97
Annual 12/1/19 13.13 13.40 12.60 13.28 6 1 3 -0.69
Annual 12/1/18 13.73 14.61 12.80 14.10 7 -- 5 -1.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.47 4.47 4.47 4.47 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.22 3.22 3.22 3.22 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 5.35 5.35 5.35 5.35 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 14.42 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 17.21 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 16.85 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 12,586.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 14,347.16 14,935.19 13,959.00 14,247.23 4 -- 4 -1.25
Annual 12/1/19 13,859.03 14,728.00 13,193.00 13,867.90 7 -- 7 -1.53
Annual 12/1/18 13,411.78 13,982.00 13,083.00 13,353.86 5 -- 4 -0.50
Quarterly 12/1/18 3,304.94 3,386.98 3,213.00 3,332.80 5 1 4 -2.81
Quarterly 3/1/19 3,699.57 3,832.11 3,480.75 3,785.85 3 -- 3 -2.06
Quarterly 6/1/19 3,246.87 3,480.75 3,105.45 3,154.40 3 -- 3 -1.77
Quarterly 9/1/19 3,451.82 3,570.46 3,304.25 3,480.75 3 -- 1 1.40

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 12,586.00 12,997.15 -3.16
Annual 12/1/16 11,733.00 12,450.54 -5.76
Annual 12/1/15 11,728.00 13,056.24 -10.17
Quarterly 9/1/18 3,451.00 3,384.85 1.95
Quarterly 6/1/18 3,088.00 3,185.85 -3.07
Quarterly 3/1/18 3,466.00 3,499.37 -0.95
Quarterly 12/1/17 3,210.00 3,466.83 -7.41

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 18.14 128.81 0.14
FY1 17.53 90.84 0.19
FY2 16.77 107.66 0.16

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 13.36 -77.98 5.15
FY2/FY1 3.49 225.92 0.32
FY3/FY2 3.49 225.92 0.32

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