Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 68.94
Price - 52 Week High: 77.18
Price - 52 Week Low: 61.53
Price Date (Latest): 1/17/19
Median Price Target: 75.39
Diff from Prev Close: 6.45
% Difference: 9.36

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.53

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.60
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 3.04
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 3.20
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 15.45
Yield (%): 4.41

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.47 4.60 4.38 4.45 8 2 2 0.63
Annual 12/1/19 4.25 4.35 4.14 4.26 12 2 4 -0.17
Annual 12/1/18 4.07 4.14 4.01 4.07 17 3 2 -0.29
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.93 1.03 0.86 0.93 13 2 2 -1.83
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.10 1.26 0.93 1.12 5 1 1 -1.34
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.87 1.04 0.61 0.90 5 1 1 -3.95
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.15 1.22 1.07 1.16 5 2 -- -1.13
Long Term Growth 6.33 7.57 5.10 6.33 2 1 -- -5.46

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.60 3.58 0.46
Annual 12/1/16 3.80 3.81 -0.17
Annual 12/1/15 3.44 3.64 -5.62
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.15 1.13 1.76
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.86 0.79 9.14
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.14 1.04 9.10
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.91 0.89 1.89

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 26.58
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 34.06 37.28 26.66 36.15 4 3 -- -3.83
Annual 12/1/19 33.32 36.10 25.90 35.64 4 3 -- -3.71
Annual 12/1/18 32.99 35.43 30.25 33.14 4 1 -- -0.02
Quarterly 12/1/18 34.07 35.46 32.69 34.07 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 26.18 26.18 26.18 26.18 1 -- -- -0.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 24.43 24.43 24.43 24.43 1 -- -- -0.21
Quarterly 9/1/19 23.14 23.14 23.14 23.14 1 -- -- -0.32

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 26.58 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 23.26 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 21.28 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 28.20 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 27.62 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 27.09 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 26.58 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 8.26 8.80 7.83 8.21 5 2 1 -1.58
Annual 12/1/19 7.77 8.48 7.34 7.56 6 1 2 -2.57
Annual 12/1/18 7.58 8.07 7.19 7.61 6 2 -- 0.42
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.92 2.25 1.72 1.79 3 -- 2 -0.12
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.23 1.92 -- 1.76 3 -- -- -0.82
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.08 1.77 -- 1.48 3 -- -- -0.83
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.38 2.30 -- 1.84 3 -- -- -0.60

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 7.15 7.46 -4.11
Annual 12/1/16 6.69 6.98 -4.12
Annual 12/1/15 7.54 6.15 22.53
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.96 2.00 -2.10
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.83 1.67 9.86
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.89 1.89 0.19
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.37 1.75 -21.68

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.06
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.91 3.97 3.89 3.89 7 -- 1 -0.17
Annual 12/1/19 3.66 3.67 3.61 3.67 9 1 1 0.16
Annual 12/1/18 3.34 3.34 3.32 3.34 13 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.84 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.06 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.59 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.84 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.84 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.84 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.77 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 4,360.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 6,080.87 6,462.00 5,435.21 6,272.74 5 3 -- 7.72
Annual 12/1/19 5,791.06 6,066.00 5,402.92 5,836.34 6 4 -- 8.55
Annual 12/1/18 4,787.50 4,984.32 4,604.22 4,811.00 7 2 1 0.47
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,242.64 1,630.52 1,009.22 1,143.65 6 2 1 2.54
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,467.20 1,650.64 1,265.43 1,485.52 3 1 -- -0.19
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,224.74 1,434.64 1,099.31 1,140.28 3 1 -- -4.43
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,563.95 1,609.45 1,528.06 1,554.35 3 1 -- 0.69

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,360.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3,986.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 3,807.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,155.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 923.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,180.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,195.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 6,265.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 8,492.31 9,151.00 7,934.58 8,612.97 5 2 -- 4.40
Annual 12/1/19 8,151.79 8,666.00 7,584.79 8,275.31 7 4 -- 7.79
Annual 12/1/18 6,806.61 7,172.63 6,567.23 6,809.50 8 2 1 0.33
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,797.36 2,226.67 1,582.34 1,663.12 6 2 1 3.17
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,021.11 2,251.01 1,852.63 1,990.41 4 1 -- -2.37
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,823.85 2,036.01 1,686.51 1,786.44 4 1 -- -3.00
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,102.46 2,141.55 2,016.15 2,126.08 4 1 -- -2.45

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 6,265.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 5,545.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 5,196.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,681.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,386.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,778.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,679.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.93
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.44 4.55 4.38 4.40 3 1 2 5.48
Annual 12/1/19 4.24 4.35 4.14 4.23 5 2 3 -0.19
Annual 12/1/18 3.87 4.03 3.71 3.87 2 -- 2 -0.13
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.93 0.96 0.90 0.93 4 -- 1 -0.54
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.25 1.26 1.24 1.25 2 1 -- 9.60
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.97 1.04 0.90 0.97 2 -- 1 -16.49
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.12 1.16 1.07 1.12 2 1 -- 1.35

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3.44 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 3.20 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.30 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.69 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.77 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.25 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 37,204.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 41,954.90 51,138.29 34,808.09 43,869.00 5 2 1 5.91
Annual 12/1/19 40,226.07 48,830.27 33,666.66 41,747.00 5 2 1 6.74
Annual 12/1/18 36,476.86 41,289.00 32,491.29 36,059.65 7 1 2 1.32
Quarterly 12/1/18 36,809.48 41,289.00 32,491.29 36,728.82 4 1 1 2.50
Quarterly 3/1/19 32,531.01 32,763.07 32,298.95 32,531.01 2 -- -- -0.71
Quarterly 6/1/19 33,414.61 33,723.81 33,105.40 33,414.61 2 -- -- 0.93
Quarterly 9/1/19 33,698.86 34,093.14 33,304.57 33,698.86 2 -- -- 1.17

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 37,204.00 36,034.45 3.25
Annual 12/1/16 25,367.00 31,114.68 -18.47
Annual 12/1/15 18,986.00 26,335.82 -27.91
Quarterly 9/1/18 37,914.00 33,944.33 11.69
Quarterly 6/1/18 29,234.00 34,067.53 -14.19
Quarterly 3/1/18 37,247.00 32,560.33 14.39
Quarterly 12/1/17 37,204.00 34,376.06 8.23

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 2,289.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3,442.18 3,605.41 2,978.03 3,592.65 4 2 -- 6.85
Annual 12/1/19 3,287.03 3,403.35 2,848.51 3,367.99 6 4 -- 8.63
Annual 12/1/18 2,691.16 2,745.00 2,657.60 2,694.09 9 2 3 -0.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 628.39 641.10 619.35 625.00 5 -- 2 0.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 788.41 975.61 644.97 744.64 3 1 -- -4.87
Quarterly 6/1/19 605.73 808.61 494.39 514.18 3 1 -- -11.91
Quarterly 9/1/19 863.12 872.43 848.34 868.59 3 1 -- -1.59

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2,289.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2,347.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2,040.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 758.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 560.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 741.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 585.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2,916.00 2,916.00 2,916.00 2,916.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2,736.00 2,736.00 2,736.00 2,736.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 517.90 517.90 517.90 517.90 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 14.42
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 13.53 16.94 12.08 12.55 4 1 2 3.82
Annual 12/1/19 13.54 15.80 11.80 13.40 5 1 2 3.68
Annual 12/1/18 13.47 14.53 11.40 14.00 7 1 2 -1.72
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.99 2.99 2.99 2.99 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.47 4.47 4.47 4.47 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 5.35 5.35 5.35 5.35 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 14.42 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 17.21 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 16.85 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 12,586.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 17,585.81 18,153.23 17,054.21 17,550.00 3 1 -- 11.38
Annual 12/1/19 17,135.35 18,217.18 16,194.00 17,083.00 5 3 -- 15.35
Annual 12/1/18 13,429.53 13,994.74 13,065.00 13,358.76 7 2 1 0.83
Quarterly 12/1/18 3,455.44 3,989.74 3,213.00 3,353.76 5 3 -- 4.48
Quarterly 3/1/19 4,831.89 4,912.47 4,751.31 4,831.89 2 1 -- 11.30
Quarterly 6/1/19 4,197.63 4,414.31 3,980.94 4,197.63 2 1 -- 9.44
Quarterly 9/1/19 4,382.79 4,529.79 4,235.80 4,382.79 2 1 -- 7.20

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 12,586.00 12,997.15 -3.16
Annual 12/1/16 11,733.00 12,450.54 -5.76
Annual 12/1/15 11,728.00 13,056.24 -10.17
Quarterly 9/1/18 3,451.00 3,384.85 1.95
Quarterly 6/1/18 3,088.00 3,185.85 -3.07
Quarterly 3/1/18 3,466.00 3,499.37 -0.95
Quarterly 12/1/17 3,210.00 3,466.83 -7.41

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 16.20 99.96 0.16
FY1 15.41 106.32 0.14
FY2 14.60 73.65 0.20

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 4.43 143.35 0.43
FY2/FY1 5.12 42.22 0.74
FY3/FY2 5.12 42.22 0.74

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